March 2026 Market Report
As of March 2026, buyer activity is picking up with pending contracts up 88.9% year-over-year. Closings remained consistent with the broader pricing trend.
How to Read This Report+
Rolling 12-month median: Downtown Austin’s condo market typically records only 10–20 closings per month. A single month’s median can swing dramatically based on just a few high- or low-priced sales. By computing the median price per square foot across all closed sales in the prior 12 months, this report smooths out that noise and provides a more reliable pricing trend.
Active listings: Units listed for sale in the MLS and not yet under contract as of the last day of the report month. This report uses end-of-month snapshots to capture the exact inventory level at that point in time, enabling accurate year-over-year comparison.
Pending contracts: Units under contract but not yet closed as of the last day of the report month. Pending counts are a leading indicator of upcoming closed sales and reflect real-time buyer demand.
Months of supply: Active listings divided by the average number of closings per month over the trailing 12 months. Below 6 months generally favors sellers; above 8 months favors buyers; 6–8 months is considered balanced.
Days on market (DOM): The number of days between a listing going active in the MLS and the seller accepting an offer. Lower DOM suggests stronger demand; higher DOM suggests buyers have more leverage.
Close-to-list ratio: The final sale price divided by the most recent list price at the time of contract. A ratio near or above 100% means sellers are getting what they ask; below 97% indicates meaningful buyer negotiation.
Year-over-year (YoY): Compares a metric to the same period one year earlier. For the rolling median $/SF, this means the trailing 12-month window versus the same 12-month window one year ago. For single-month metrics (closed sales, days on market, active listings, pending contracts), it compares the report month (e.g. February 2026) to the same calendar month last year (February 2025).
As of March 2026, 34 contracts are pending downtown, up 88.9% from a year ago. That signals a meaningful pickup in buyer activity. With roughly 14 months of supply, the market sits in a buyer’s market.
March 2026’s 30 closings transacted at a median of $628/SF, while the rolling 12-month trend sits at $655/SF. That tracks closely with the broader trend.
At the building level, Milago (3 months) and The Austonian (3.4 months) have the tightest supply, while 904 West (48 months) and The Linden (48 months) sit with the most inventory relative to sales velocity.
Downtown Austin: Rolling 12-Month Median $/SF
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As of March 2026, Milago leads downtown with just 3 months of supply, despite pricing softening 14.9% year-over-year at a rolling 12-month median of $450/SF. With 3 active listings and 12 sales over the past year, inventory here is turning over faster than the downtown average.
Looking back at what I was watching last month: Pending contracts did convert, with closings coming in at $628/SF. Pricing tracked closely with the rolling trend, so the signal remains mixed. Closings did pick up, with 30 sales in March 2026.
Heading into April, I’m watching:
- Will the 89% jump in pending contracts convert to closings in April?
- Will pricing pressure ease, or will closings continue tracking below the rolling median?
- Will spring listings outpace absorption, or will demand keep tightening supply?
Frequently Asked Questions
Jacob Hannusch · Downtown Austin Condo Specialist
Data sourced from Unlock MLS (formerly ACTRIS). All figures based on condos in downtown Austin. Rolling 12-month averages compare the trailing 12 months ending March 2026 vs. the trailing 12 months ending March 2025.
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